Week 2
This week's slate.
Every game this week with kickoff, conditions and the market line, including where that line opened when it has moved since. Projected scores and win probability appear on each card as they publish. These describe what is happening and what the model expects, not what anyone should do about it.
Lines as of Tue Sep 15, 10:00 AM ET. 16 of 16 have moved since they were first recorded.
DET at BUFThu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ET
Market line
BUF -4.5
Market total
53.5
Projected
22.6 - 26.4
Win prob BUF
61%
Line movespread BUF -3 to BUF -4.5, total 52.5 to 53.5
Conditions70F, 3 mph W, 22% precip, slight chance rain showers, a_turf
Market oddsDET +180 BUF -218
Fair oddsDET +158 BUF -158 projected spread +3.8
CAR at ATLSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Market line
CAR -1.5
Market total
44.5
Projected
21.6 - 25.2
Win prob ATL
61%
Line movespread ATL -1.5 to CAR -1.5
Conditions85F, 5 mph SE, 16% precip, slight chance rain showers, fieldturf
Market oddsCAR -125 ATL +105
Fair oddsCAR +154 ATL -154 projected spread +3.6
CIN at HOUSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Market line
HOU -3
Market total
46.5
Projected
18.8 - 26.7
Win prob HOU
71%
Line movespread HOU -2.5 to HOU -3
Conditions91F, 5 mph E, 3% precip, sunny, astroturf
Market oddsCIN +124 HOU -148
Fair oddsCIN +243 HOU -243 projected spread +7.8
CLE at TBSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Market line
TB -8.5
Market total
40.5
Projected
16.9 - 21.8
Win prob TB
64%
Line movespread TB -5.5 to TB -8.5, total 42.5 to 40.5
Conditions86F, 7 mph SSE, 26% precip, scattered showers and thunderstorms, grass
Market oddsCLE +320 TB -410
Fair oddsCLE +177 TB -177 projected spread +4.8
GB at NYJSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Market line
GB -4.5
Market total
44.5
Projected
27.2 - 21.6
Win prob NYJ
33%
Line movespread GB -5.5 to GB -4.5, total 42.5 to 44.5
Conditions77F, 12 mph SW, 39% precip, chance rain showers, fieldturf
Market oddsGB -205 NYJ +170
Fair oddsGB -208 NYJ +208 projected spread -5.6
MIN at CHISun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Market line
CHI -5.5
Market total
49.5
Projected
19.8 - 22.7
Win prob CHI
59%
Line movespread CHI -3.5 to CHI -5.5, total 45.5 to 49.5
Conditions72F, 15 mph NNE, 38% precip, chance showers and thunderstorms, grass
Market oddsMIN +195 CHI -238
Fair oddsMIN +141 CHI -141 projected spread +2.9
NO at BALSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Market line
BAL -8.5
Market total
46.5
Projected
19.5 - 23.1
Win prob BAL
61%
Line movespread BAL -7.5 to BAL -8.5
Conditions83F, 10 mph SW, 7% precip, partly sunny, grass
Market oddsNO +320 BAL -410
Fair oddsNO +153 BAL -153 projected spread +3.6
PHI at TENSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Market line
PHI -7
Market total
39.5
Projected
23.5 - 19.3
Win prob TEN
37%
Line movespread PHI -4.5 to PHI -7, total 42.5 to 39.5
Conditions91F, 5 mph SW, 6% precip, mostly sunny, grass
Market oddsPHI -305 TEN +245
Fair oddsPHI -173 TEN +173 projected spread -4.3
PIT at NESun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Market line
NE -5.5
Market total
42.5
Projected
19.4 - 25.9
Win prob NE
68%
Line movespread NE -4.5 to NE -5.5, total 43.5 to 42.5
Conditions68F, 9 mph SW, 49% precip, chance rain showers, fieldturf
Market oddsPIT +190 NE -230
Fair oddsPIT +210 NE -210 projected spread +6.4
JAX at DENSun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET
Market line
DEN -2.5
Market total
44.5
Projected
20.0 - 21.5
Win prob DEN
55%
Line movetotal 43.5 to 44.5
Conditions75F, 6 mph ENE, 33% precip, chance showers and thunderstorms, grass
Market oddsJAX +114 DEN -135
Fair oddsJAX +121 DEN -121 projected spread +1.5
LV at LACSun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET
Market line
LAC -7
Market total
43.5
Projected
17.3 - 24.4
Win prob LAC
69%
Line movespread LAC -8.5 to LAC -7, total 42.5 to 43.5
ConditionsIndoors, matrixturf
Market oddsLV +250 LAC -310
Fair oddsLV +224 LAC -224 projected spread +7.1
MIA at SFSun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET
Market line
SF -12.5
Market total
45.5
Projected
21.8 - 27.0
Win prob SF
65%
Line movespread SF -10.5 to SF -12.5, total 46.5 to 45.5
Conditions72F, 3 mph W, mostly sunny, grass
Market oddsMIA +625 SF -950
Fair oddsMIA +184 SF -184 projected spread +5.2
SEA at ARISun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET
Market line
SEA -4.5
Market total
41.5
Projected
25.3 - 20.9
Win prob ARI
36%
Line movespread SEA -10 to SEA -4.5, total 44.5 to 41.5
Conditions102F, 5 mph SE, 1% precip, sunny, grass
Market oddsSEA -225 ARI +185
Fair oddsSEA -176 ARI +176 projected spread -4.4
WAS at DALSun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET
Market line
DAL -3.5
Market total
50.5
Projected
26.1 - 29.6
Win prob DAL
60%
Line movespread DAL -4.5 to DAL -3.5, total 51.5 to 50.5
Conditions95F, 5 mph E, 26% precip, chance rain showers, matrixturf
Market oddsWAS +185 DAL -225
Fair oddsWAS +151 DAL -151 projected spread +3.4
IND at KCSun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ET
Market line
KC -6.5
Market total
47.5
Projected
22.8 - 24.6
Win prob KC
56%
Line moveprice moved, spread and total held
Conditions71F, 8 mph N, 15% precip, slight chance rain showers, grass
Market oddsIND +245 KC -305
Fair oddsIND +125 KC -125 projected spread +1.8
NYG at LAMon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ET
Market line
LA -7
Market total
48.5
Projected
21.4 - 29.6
Win prob LA
71%
Line movespread LA -8.5 to LA -7
ConditionsIndoors, matrixturf
Market oddsNYG +280 LA -355
Fair oddsNYG +250 LA -250 projected spread +8.1