Week 8
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET (Sun Nov 1, 2:25 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market consensus | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DEN -2.5 | KC -1.5 | 4 toward DEN |
| Total | 42 | 40.5 | 1.5 higher |
| Moneyline | KC +139DEN -139 | KC -118DEN +100 | |
| Win chance | DEN 58% | DEN 48% | DEN +10% |
| Market | KC | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | KC +1Best available line: Caesars | DEN -1.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Total | Over 40.5Best available line: DraftKings | Under 40.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Moneyline | KC -118Best available line: DraftKings | DEN +103Best available line: Caesars |
Odds updated 6 min ago.
Line movement
- DraftKingsTue 4:02 PM: KC -1.5 / 42.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: KC -1.5 / 41.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: KC -1.5 / 40.5
- FanDuelTue 4:02 PM: KC -1.5 / 42.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: KC -1.5 / 41.5 → Mon 8:13 PM: KC -1.5 / 40.5
- CaesarsTue 6:01 PM: KC -1.5 / 42.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: KC -1.5 / 40.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: KC -1 / 40.5 → Fri 2:00 PM: KC -1.5 / 40.5 → Fri 2:30 PM: KC -1 / 40.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Not published yet. When a projection exists for this game, this section shows the score before environment, the adjustment applied to it, and the result, adding up in front of you.
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Denver Broncosprojected 38.0 pass plays, 24.5 run plays
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 33.7 | 33.7 |
| Pass yards | 187.7 | 187.7 |
| Receiving yards | 187.7 | 187.7 |
| Pass touchdowns | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Carries |
Environment
Venue
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Roof
open
Elevation
5280 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
63F
Wind
5 mph E
Chance of precipitation
1%
Humidity
41%
Forecast
Mostly Cloudy
Issued 63 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Highest-elevation regular NFL stadium (Wikipedia confirms 5280 ft).
Injury report
Kansas City Chiefs11 listed
Creed HumphreyCToeFull Participation in Practice
Drue TranquillLBElbowFull Participation in Practice
Jaylon MooreTConcussionFull Participation in Practice
Kahlil BensonTAnkleFull Participation in Practice
L'Jarius SneedCBKneeLimited Participation in Practice
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