Week 8
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET (Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market consensus | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NE -7 | NE -7 | Same |
| Total | 45 | 43.5 | 1.5 higher |
| Moneyline | NE -248MIA +248 | NE -325MIA +260 | |
| Win chance | MIA 29% | MIA 27% | MIA +2% |
| Market | NE | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | NE +7Best available line: FanDuel | MIA -7Best available line: DraftKings |
| Total | Over 43Best available line: Caesars | Under 43.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Moneyline | NE -320Best available line: FanDuel | MIA +265Best available line: Caesars |
Odds updated 21 min ago.
Line movement
- DraftKingsTue 4:02 PM: NE -7.5 / 44.5 → Fri 6:01 AM: NE -8.5 / 44.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: NE -7 / 44.5 → Mon 8:13 PM: NE -7.5 / 44.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: NE -7 / 43.5
- FanDuelTue 4:02 PM: NE -8.5 / 43.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: NE -7.5 / 44.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: NE -7 / 43.5
- CaesarsTue 6:01 PM: NE -7.5 / 44.5 → Fri 6:01 AM: NE -8.5 / 44.5 → Fri 10:31 AM: NE -8.5 / 44 → Mon 5:28 PM: NE -7.5 / 44 → Mon 8:13 PM: NE -7.5 / 44.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: NE -7 / 43 → Fri 2:00 PM: NE -7 / 43.5 → Fri 9:30 PM: NE -7 / 43
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Not published yet. When a projection exists for this game, this section shows the score before environment, the adjustment applied to it, and the result, adding up in front of you.
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Miami Dolphinsprojected 36.2 pass plays, 23.6 run plays
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 32.6 | 32.6 |
| Pass yards | 198.9 | 198.9 |
| Receiving yards | 198.9 | 198.9 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Carries |
Environment
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Roof
open
Elevation
10 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
79F
Wind
14 mph E
Chance of precipitation
83%
Humidity
88%
Forecast
Showers And Thunderstorms
Issued 61 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Capacity 64767 (reduced from 75000 per WP). Open-air canopy (2016) covers seating but leaves field exposed. Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Miami Gardens city elevation (10 ft).
Injury report
New England Patriots13 listed
A.J. BrownWRAnkle, KneeDid Not Participate In Practice
Ben BrownCKneeLimited Participation in Practice
Carlton Davis IIICBNeckFull Participation in Practice
Channing CanadaCBHamstringFull Participation in Practice
Christian EllissLBChestFull Participation in Practice
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