Week 8
Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET (Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market consensus | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NYJ -1 | NYJ -1.5 | 1.5 toward LV |
| Total | 44 | 45.5 | 1.5 lower |
| Moneyline | LV +103NYJ -103 | LV +102NYJ -121 | |
| Win chance | NYJ 51% | NYJ 53% | NYJ -2% |
| Market | LV | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | LV -1.5Best available line: DraftKings | NYJ +1.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Total | Over 45.5Best available line: Caesars | Under 45.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Moneyline | LV +103Best available line: Caesars | NYJ -118Best available line: FanDuel |
Odds updated 21 min ago.
Line movement
- DraftKingsTue 4:02 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 42.5 → Wed 8:00 PM: LV -1.5 / 42.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 44.5 → Mon 8:13 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 45.5
- FanDuelTue 4:02 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 43.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 44.5 → Mon 8:13 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 45.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: NYJ -1.5 / 46.5 → Fri 10:30 AM: NYJ -1.5 / 45.5
- CaesarsTue 6:01 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 42.5 → Wed 6:00 AM: NYJ -1.5 / 43.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 44.5 → Mon 8:13 PM: NYJ -1.5 / 45.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
NYJ22.1
22.1Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=22.1
LV21.9
21.9Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=21.9
Total43.9
43.9Before environment
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
New York Jetsprojected 37.0 pass plays, 24.9 run plays
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 32.6 | 32.6 |
| Pass yards | 200.9 | 200.9 |
| Receiving yards | 200.9 | 200.9 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.46 | 1.46 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.46 | 1.46 |
| Carries |
Environment
Venue
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Roof
open
Elevation
3 ft
Surface
fieldturf
Temperature
61F
Wind
3 mph SW
Chance of precipitation
0%
Humidity
36%
Forecast
Mostly Sunny
Issued 53 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Shared by NYG and NYJ. Stadium WP did not list elevation; using East Rutherford city elevation (3 ft).
Injury report
Las Vegas Raiders10 listed
Brock BowersTECalfFull Participation in Practice
Carter RunyonTEFootFull Participation in Practice
DJ GlazeTAnkleLimited Participation in Practice
Foley FatukasiDTShoulderLimited Participation in Practice
Ian ThomasTEShoulderLimited Participation in Practice
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