Week 8
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET (Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market consensus | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PIT -4.5 | PIT -3.5 | 1 toward PIT |
| Total | 40 | 39.5 | 0.5 higher |
| Moneyline | CLE +168PIT -168 | CLE +160PIT -192 | |
| Win chance | PIT 63% | PIT 63% | Same |
| Market | CLE | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | CLE -3.5Best available line: FanDuel | PIT +3.5Best available line: Caesars |
| Total | Over 39.5Best available line: DraftKings | Under 39.5Best available line: Caesars |
| Moneyline | CLE +164Best available line: FanDuel | PIT -190Best available line: Caesars |
Odds updated 20 min ago.
Line movement
- DraftKingsTue 4:02 PM: PIT -4.5 / 38.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: PIT -3.5 / 38.5 → Mon 8:13 PM: PIT -3.5 / 39.5
- FanDuelTue 4:02 PM: PIT -4.5 / 39.5 → Tue 6:01 PM: PIT -4.5 / 38.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: PIT -3.5 / 38.5 → Mon 8:13 PM: PIT -3.5 / 39.5
- CaesarsTue 6:01 PM: PIT -4.5 / 38.5 → Thu 12:01 PM: PIT -4.5 / 39 → Sat 10:30 AM: PIT -4.5 / 38.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: PIT -3.5 / 38.5 → Mon 8:13 PM: PIT -3.5 / 39.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
PIT22.2
22.2Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=22.2
CLE17.9
17.9Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=17.9
Total40.1
40.1Before environment
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Pittsburgh Steelersprojected 36.3 pass plays, 25.8 run plays
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| Pass yards | 186.1 | 186.1 |
| Receiving yards | 186.1 | 186.1 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Carries |
Environment
Venue
Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Roof
open
Elevation
710 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
66F
Wind
3 mph S
Chance of precipitation
2%
Humidity
45%
Forecast
Mostly Cloudy
Issued 51 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Pittsburgh city LOWEST elevation (710 ft per WP infobox; stadium is on Ohio River north shore so near city's low end).
Injury report
Cleveland Browns10 listed
Carson SchwesingerLBAnkleLimited Participation in Practice
Daniel ThomasSAnkleLimited Participation in Practice
Dylan SampsonRBKneeFull Participation in Practice
Elgton JenkinsCKneeLimited Participation in Practice
Grant DelpitSNeckLimited Participation in Practice
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.