Touchdown Theory

Week 8

Odds screen.

What the market is offering on every game this week, and where each number was first recorded here when it has moved since. This is the market side only. The model's own probability and the fair odds it translates to appear alongside these once projections publish.

Recorded Fri Oct 30, 12:15 PM ET. 14 of 14 have moved since they were first recorded.

GameKickoffLineTotalAwayHomeFirst recorded
CAR at GBFinal CAR 19, GB 27GB -3.547.5+160-192moneyline only
ARI at DALSun Nov 1 1:00 PMDAL -754.5+250-310moneyline only
ATL at TBSun Nov 1 1:00 PMTB -2.543.5+120-142moneyline only
BAL at BUFSun Nov 1 1:00 PMBUF -354.5+145-175moneyline only
CLE at PITSun Nov 1 1:00 PMPIT -3.539.5+160-192moneyline only
IND at JAXSun Nov 1 1:00 PMJAX -1046.5+380-500moneyline only
LV at NYJSun Nov 1 1:00 PMNYJ -1.545.5+102-122moneyline only
MIN at DETSun Nov 1 1:00 PMDET -346.5+142-170moneyline only
TEN at CINSun Nov 1 1:00 PMCIN -12.546.5+470-650moneyline only
LAC at LASun Nov 1 4:05 PMLA -6.545.5+220-270moneyline only
KC at DENSun Nov 1 4:25 PMKC -1.540.5-118-102moneyline only
NE at MIASun Nov 1 4:25 PMNE -743.5-325+260moneyline only
PHI at WASSun Nov 1 8:20 PMWAS -640.5+205-250moneyline only
CHI at SEAMon Nov 2 8:15 PMSEA -346.5+142-170moneyline only

First recorded shows the earliest spread and total the feed captured for a game, and only where it differs from the current one. A game whose price moved while its spread and total held reads price only. This is not the book's opening line — the current feed publishes a single consensus number without bookmaker attribution or a market-side timestamp, so the earliest we can show is the first snapshot our ingester saw. Every snapshot is on the game page.

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