Week 8
Environment.
Two games with the same teams are not the same game. Wind changes what a passing offense can do, cold changes the ball, a roof removes both, and elevation changes how far a kick carries. These are the conditions the model reads before it adjusts anything, shown here on their own so you can see what it is working from.
12 of 14 games have a forecast, recorded Fri Oct 30, 12:15 PM ET. Sorted by wind.
| Game | Kickoff | Venue | Roof | Elev | Temp | Wind | Precip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND at JAX | Sun Nov 1 1:00 PM | Jacksonville | open | 3 | 75F | 16 E | 54% |
| NE at MIA | Sun Nov 1 4:25 PM | Miami Gardens | open | 10 | 79F | 14 E | 83% |
| ATL at TB | Sun Nov 1 1:00 PM | Tampa | open | 10 | 80F | 12 E | 78% |
| CAR at GB | final | Green Bay | open | 640 | 53F | 7 WNW | 0% |
| ARI at DAL | Sun Nov 1 1:00 PM | Arlington | retractable | 604 | 78F | 5 SSE | 0% |
| KC at DEN | Sun Nov 1 4:25 PM | Denver | open | 5280 | 63F | 5 E | 1% |
| BAL at BUF | Sun Nov 1 1:00 PM | 63F | 3 S | 0% | |||
| CLE at PIT | Sun Nov 1 1:00 PM | Pittsburgh | open | 710 | 66F | 3 S | 2% |
| LV at NYJ | Sun Nov 1 1:00 PM | East Rutherford | open | 3 | 61F | 3 SW | 0% |
| TEN at CIN | Sun Nov 1 1:00 PM | Cincinnati | open | 742 | 67F | 3 SE | 41% |
| PHI at WAS | Sun Nov 1 8:20 PM | Landover | open | 200 | 53F | 2 SE | 0% |
| CHI at SEA | Mon Nov 2 8:15 PM | Seattle | open | 148 | 52F | 2 N | 4% |
| LAC at LA | Sun Nov 1 4:05 PM | Inglewood | fixed roof | 130 | |||
| MIN at DET | Sun Nov 1 1:00 PM | Detroit | fixed roof | 597 |
Elevation is in feet. A blank forecast is not always a gap in the data: a fixed roof makes the forecast irrelevant, and a game played outside the National Weather Service's coverage cannot have one. Each game page says which applies to it.
Not published yet: what the model does with these. The environment model records its wind, cold, dome and elevation adjustments as separate values in points, so each game will show the projection before environment, each adjustment applied to it, and the result. Those arrive with the projections.