Week 2
Environment.
Two games with the same teams are not the same game. Wind changes what a passing offense can do, cold changes the ball, a roof removes both, and elevation changes how far a kick carries. These are the conditions the model reads before it adjusts anything, shown here on their own so you can see what it is working from.
14 of 16 games have a forecast, recorded Tue Sep 15, 10:00 AM ET. Sorted by wind.
| Game | Kickoff | Venue | Roof | Elev | Temp | Wind | Precip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN at CHI | Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM | Chicago | open | 578 | 72F | 15 NNE | 38% |
| GB at NYJ | Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM | East Rutherford | open | 3 | 77F | 12 SW | 39% |
| NO at BAL | Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM | Baltimore | open | 33 | 83F | 10 SW | 7% |
| PIT at NE | Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM | Foxborough | open | 285 | 68F | 9 SW | 49% |
| IND at KC | Sun Sep 20 8:20 PM | Kansas City | open | 909 | 71F | 8 N | 15% |
| CLE at TB | Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM | Tampa | open | 10 | 86F | 7 SSE | 26% |
| JAX at DEN | Sun Sep 20 4:05 PM | Denver | open | 5280 | 75F | 6 ENE | 33% |
| CAR at ATL | Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM | Atlanta | retractable | 1050 | 85F | 5 SE | 16% |
| CIN at HOU | Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM | Houston | retractable | 105 | 91F | 5 E | 3% |
| PHI at TEN | Sun Sep 20 1:00 PM | Nashville | open | 450 | 91F | 5 SW | 6% |
| SEA at ARI | Sun Sep 20 4:25 PM | Glendale | retractable | 1060 | 102F | 5 SE | 1% |
| WAS at DAL | Sun Sep 20 4:25 PM | Arlington | retractable | 604 | 95F | 5 E | 26% |
| DET at BUF | Thu Sep 17 8:15 PM | 70F | 3 W | 22% | |||
| MIA at SF | Sun Sep 20 4:25 PM | Santa Clara | open | 72 | 72F | 3 W | 0% |
| LV at LAC | Sun Sep 20 4:05 PM | Inglewood | fixed roof | 130 | |||
| NYG at LA | Mon Sep 21 8:15 PM | Inglewood | fixed roof | 130 |
Elevation is in feet. A blank forecast is not always a gap in the data: a fixed roof makes the forecast irrelevant, and a game played outside the National Weather Service's coverage cannot have one. Each game page says which applies to it.
Not published yet: what the model does with these. The environment model records its wind, cold, dome and elevation adjustments as separate values in points, so each game will show the projection before environment, each adjustment applied to it, and the result. Those arrive with the projections.