Touchdown Theory

Week 3

Passing Yards.

Projected passing yards for every quarterback on the slate.

PlayerPosMatchupPass ydsPass TDRush ydsAnytime TD
Sam DarnoldQBSEA at WAS2912.54410.5%
Brock PurdyQBSF vs ARI2692.411818.0%
Lamar JacksonQBBAL at DAL2511.913126.8%
Dak PrescottQBDAL vs BAL2471.53712.6%
Jared GoffQBDET vs NYJ2462.64310.6%
Patrick MahomesQBKC at MIA2391.902819.8%
C.J. StroudQBHOU at IND2380.94911.4%
Josh AllenQBBUF vs LAC2371.503366.7%
Drake MayeQBNE at JAX2371.202115.2%
Matthew StaffordQBLA at DEN2361.87110.7%
Jalen HurtsQBPHI at CHI2341.972719.5%
Joe BurrowQBCIN at PIT2341.62910.5%
Jordan LoveQBGB vs ATL2321.7789.8%
Jaxson DartQBNYG vs TEN2301.342622.9%
Daniel JonesQBIND vs HOU2201.191017.2%
Jacoby BrissettQBARI at SF2171.22810.5%
Kyler MurrayQBMIN at TB2161.381913.8%
Aaron RodgersQBPIT vs CIN2141.23713.7%
Tyler ShoughQBNO vs LV2100.73814.0%
Trevor LawrenceQBJAX vs NE2041.441714.2%
Bo NixQBDEN vs LA2011.261512.5%
Malik WillisQBMIA vs KC1990.842522.3%
Bryce YoungQBCAR at CLE1981.871516.1%
Caleb WilliamsQBCHI vs PHI1950.822726.8%
Kirk CousinsQBLV at NO1881.62010.6%
Justin HerbertQBLAC at BUF1881.342012.9%
Deshaun WatsonQBCLE vs CAR1870.751614.9%
Cam WardQBTEN at NYG1850.972317.2%
Baker MayfieldQBTB vs MIN1840.652413.1%
Michael Penix Jr.QBATL at GB1820.92814.3%
Geno SmithQBNYJ at DET1761.04712.5%
Jayden DanielsQBWAS vs SEA1550.833012.1%

32 players shown, ordered by Pass yds. A player appears in a market only when he is projected for it, so a quarterback is absent from receptions rather than listed at zero.

These describe what the model expects, not what anyone should do about it. Where a fair price is shown it is what the probability translates to, placed so it can be compared against what a market is offering.