Week 3
Passing TDs.
Projected passing touchdowns for every quarterback on the slate.
| Player | Pos | Matchup | Pass TD | Pass yds | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | QB | DET vs NYJ | 2.64 | 246 | 10.6% |
| Sam Darnold | QB | SEA at WAS | 2.54 | 291 | 10.5% |
| Brock Purdy | QB | SF vs ARI | 2.41 | 269 | 18.0% |
| Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI at CHI | 1.97 | 234 | 19.5% |
| Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL at DAL | 1.91 | 251 | 26.8% |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC at MIA | 1.90 | 239 | 19.8% |
| Matthew Stafford | QB | LA at DEN | 1.87 | 236 | 10.7% |
| Bryce Young | QB | CAR at CLE | 1.87 | 198 | 16.1% |
| Jordan Love | QB | GB vs ATL | 1.77 | 232 | 9.8% |
| Joe Burrow | QB | CIN at PIT | 1.62 | 234 | 10.5% |
| Kirk Cousins | QB | LV at NO | 1.62 | 188 | 10.6% |
| Dak Prescott | QB | DAL vs BAL | 1.53 | 247 | 12.6% |
| Josh Allen | QB | BUF vs LAC | 1.50 | 237 | 66.7% |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX vs NE | 1.44 | 204 | 14.2% |
| Kyler Murray | QB | MIN at TB | 1.38 | 216 | 13.8% |
| Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG vs TEN | 1.34 | 230 | 22.9% |
| Justin Herbert | QB | LAC at BUF | 1.34 | 188 | 12.9% |
| Bo Nix | QB | DEN vs LA | 1.26 | 201 | 12.5% |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT vs CIN | 1.23 | 214 | 13.7% |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI at SF | 1.22 | 217 | 10.5% |
| Drake Maye | QB | NE at JAX | 1.20 | 237 | 15.2% |
| Daniel Jones | QB | IND vs HOU | 1.19 | 220 | 17.2% |
| Geno Smith | QB | NYJ at DET | 1.04 | 176 | 12.5% |
| Cam Ward | QB | TEN at NYG | 0.97 | 185 | 17.2% |
| C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU at IND | 0.94 | 238 | 11.4% |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL at GB | 0.92 | 182 | 14.3% |
| Malik Willis | QB | MIA vs KC | 0.84 | 199 | 22.3% |
| Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS vs SEA | 0.83 | 155 | 12.1% |
| Caleb Williams | QB | CHI vs PHI | 0.82 | 195 | 26.8% |
| Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE vs CAR | 0.75 | 187 | 14.9% |
| Tyler Shough | QB | NO vs LV | 0.73 | 210 | 14.0% |
| Baker Mayfield | QB | TB vs MIN | 0.65 | 184 | 13.1% |
32 players shown, ordered by Pass TD. A player appears in a market only when he is projected for it, so a quarterback is absent from receptions rather than listed at zero.
These describe what the model expects, not what anyone should do about it. Where a fair price is shown it is what the probability translates to, placed so it can be compared against what a market is offering.