Week 8
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Final: CAR 19, GB 27
The projection
Final CAR 19, GB 27
Pregame projection · frozen at kickoff. These numbers were our final pre-game read; the market cells show the last pre-kickoff line, not any in-play price.
 Touchdown Theory | MarketClosing | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GB -5.5 | GB -3.5 | 2 toward GB |
| Total | 46.5 | 48 | 1.5 lower |
| Moneyline | CAR +189GB -189 | CAR +166GB -200 | |
| Win chance | GB 65% | GB 64% | GB +1% |
Closed 8:15 PM ET.
Sportsbook prop data updating
Line movement
- CaesarsTue 6:01 PM: GB -3 / 47.5 → Wed 6:00 AM: GB -3 / 46 → Wed 12:01 PM: GB -3 / 46.5 → Sat 6:01 AM: GB -3 / 47 → Mon 5:28 PM: GB -3.5 / 48(Closed)
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Sportsbook prop data updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
GB26.0
26.3Before environment+(-0.3)Environment=26.0
CAR20.5
20.8Before environment+(-0.3)Environment=20.5
Total46.5
47.1
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Green Bay Packersprojected 36.4 pass plays, 24.3 run plays
Sportsbook prop data updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 33.1 | 33.1 |
| Pass yards | 230.9 | 230.9 |
| Receiving yards | 230.9 | 230.9 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.44 |
Environment
Venue
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Roof
open
Elevation
640 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
53F
Wind
7 mph WNW
Chance of precipitation
0%
Humidity
66%
Forecast
Clear
Issued 11 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Major renovations 2001-2003, 2012-2013.
Injury report
Carolina Panthers8 listed
Akayleb EvansCBOut (week 8 report)Triceps, KneeDid Not Participate In Practice
Bobby Brown IIIDTQuestionable (week 8 report)HandFull Participation in Practice
Bryce YoungQBKneeFull Participation in Practice
Damien LewisGOut (week 8 report)KneeDid Not Participate In Practice
Jaelan Phillips
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.