Week 8
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
The projection
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BUF -6 | BUF -3 | 3 toward BUF |
| Total | 51.5 | 54.5 | 3 lower |
| Moneyline | BAL +197BUF -197 | BAL +148BUF -176 | |
| Win chance | BUF 66% | BUF 61% | BUF +5% |
| Market | BAL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | BAL -3Best available line: FanDuel | BUF +3Best available line: DraftKings |
| Total | Over 54.5Best available line: FanDuel | Under 54.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Moneyline | BAL +148Best available line: FanDuel | BUF -170Best available line: DraftKings |
Odds updated 21 min ago.
Line movement
- FanDuelTue 4:02 PM: BUF -2.5 / 53.5 → Wed 8:00 PM: BUF -3 / 53.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: BUF -3.5 / 53.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: BUF -3.5 / 54.5 → Fri 2:30 PM: BUF -3 / 54.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
BUF28.7
28.7Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=28.7
BAL22.9
22.9Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=22.9
Total51.6
51.6Before environment
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Buffalo Billsprojected 38.2 pass plays, 25.5 run plays
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 32.7 | 32.7 |
| Pass yards | 254.2 | 254.2 |
| Receiving yards | 254.2 | 254.2 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Carries |
Environment
Surface
a_turf
Temperature
63F
Wind
3 mph S
Chance of precipitation
0%
Humidity
43%
Forecast
Partly Sunny
Issued 53 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Injury report
Baltimore Ravens15 listed
Adam RandallRBNeckFull Participation in Practice
Broderick WashingtonDEAnkleFull Participation in Practice
Calais CampbellDTNot injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice
Jaylinn HawkinsSKneeDid Not Participate In Practice
John JenkinsDTKneeFull Participation in Practice
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.