Week 2
Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys
Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET (Sun Sep 20, 3:25 PM local)
The market
These are the market's numbers, recorded as the feed saw them. They are shown so the model can be compared against something, not as a recommendation.
How the line moved
| Recorded | Line | Total | WAS | DAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Aug 31, 4:46 PM ET | DAL -4.5 | 51.5 | +170 | -205 | |
| Wed Sep 9, 5:19 PM ET | DAL -4.5 | 51.5 | +170 | -205 | |
| Sun Sep 13, 11:25 PM ET | not posted | ||||
| Mon Sep 14, 11:25 AM ET | DAL -3.5 | 50.5 | +154 | -185 | |
| Mon Sep 14, 10:31 PM ET | DAL -3.5 | 50.5 | +170 | -205 | |
| Tue Sep 15, 12:29 AM ET | DAL -3.5 | 50.5 | +180 | -218 | |
| Tue Sep 15, 10:00 AM ET | DAL -3.5 | 50.5 | +185 | -225 | current |
Each row is a snapshot the feed recorded, oldest first. Superseded rows are kept, because a line that moves and moves back is only visible if both are shown.
Environment
Issued 129 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Capacity 80000 standard, expandable to ~105000. Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Arlington city elevation (604 ft).
The projection
Not published yet. When it is, this section carries the projected score, spread, total and win probability for this game, the fair odds the probability translates to, and the projected play counts and per-team box lines behind them.
How the number is built
Not published yet. When a projection exists for this game, this section shows the score before environment, the adjustment applied to it, and the result, adding up in front of you.
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 33.7 | 33.7 |
| Pass yards | 276.7 | 276.7 |
| Receiving yards | 276.7 | 276.7 |
| Pass touchdowns | 2.05 | 2.05 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 2.05 | 2.05 |
| Carries | 26.2 | 26.2 |
| Rush yards | 137.6 | 137.6 |
| Rush touchdowns | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Player | Pos | Pass | Rush | Rec | Tgt | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | QB | 276.7 | 7.2 | 100% | ||
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | 0.2 | 94.6 | 8.2 | 34% | |
| Javonte Williams | RB | 66.2 | 10.5 | 3.1 | 4% | |
| George Pickens | WR | 0.2 | 63.2 | 4.9 | 23% | |
| Emari Demercado | RB | 35.3 | 10.7 | 1.7 | 4% | |
| Jake Ferguson | TE | 0.0 | 37.3 | 5.1 | 13% | |
| Ryan Flournoy | WR | 1.0 | 17.2 | 1.6 | 6% | |
| KaVontae Turpin | WR | 3.7 | 14.5 | 1.1 | 5% | |
| Israel Abanikanda | RB | 11.9 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 2% | |
| Jashaun Corbin | RB | 11.9 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 2% | |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford | TE | 0.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 3% | |
| Luke Schoonmaker | TE | 4.9 | 0.7 | 2% | ||
| Jonathan Mingo | WR | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1% |
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Pass yards | 229.6 | 229.6 |
| Receiving yards | 229.6 | 229.6 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Carries | 26.8 | 26.8 |
| Rush yards | 142.6 | 142.6 |
| Rush touchdowns | 1.68 | 1.68 |
| Player | Pos | Pass | Rush | Rec | Tgt | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | QB | 229.6 | 31.9 | 100% | ||
| Terry McLaurin | WR | 0.7 | 80.9 | 7.4 | 35% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | 61.4 | 10.3 | 1.8 | 4% | |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | 0.5 | 43.6 | 4.2 | 19% | |
| Rachaad White | RB | 29.9 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 5% | |
| Chig Okonkwo | TE | 0.0 | 33.0 | 4.2 | 14% | |
| Kaytron Allen | RB | 14.1 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 2% | |
| Antonio Williams | WR | 1.1 | 13.4 | 1.6 | 6% | |
| Dyami Brown | WR | 2.8 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 3% | |
| Treylon Burks | WR | 10.4 | 1.6 | 5% | ||
| John Bates | TE | 0.0 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 4% | |
| Ben Sinnott | TE | 5.7 | 0.6 | 2% |
Share is a player's portion of the team's projected passing yards, counting a quarterback by what he throws and everyone else by what he catches. Targets are shown but not totalled: a throwaway, a batted ball or a sack is a pass attempt with no target, which is about four a game per team, so targets legitimately do not sum to attempts.
live-20260915T030122Z
Injury report
This is the week 1 report. This game is in week 2, and the league has not filed a report for it yet.