Week 9
New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET (Sun Nov 8, 12:00 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market consensus | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | KC -10.5 | KC -9.5 | 1 toward KC |
| Total | 47.5 | 46.5 | 1 higher |
| Moneyline | NYJ +311KC -311 | NYJ +400KC -537 | |
| Win chance | KC 76% | KC 81% | KC -5% |
| Market | NYJ | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | NYJ -9.5Best available line: DraftKings | KC +9.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Total | Over 46.5Best available line: FanDuel | Under 46.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Moneyline | NYJ +430Best available line: FanDuel | KC -485Best available line: DraftKings |
Odds updated 51 min ago.
Updating
Line movement
- DraftKingsFri 9:18 AM: KC -9.5 / 43.5 → Sun 6:00 PM: KC -10 / 46.5 → Sun 8:30 PM: KC -10 / 45.5 → Mon 5:00 AM: KC -10 / 46.5 → Mon 3:30 PM: KC -9.5 / 46.5
- FanDuelFri 9:18 AM: KC -9.5 / 42.5 → Sun 6:30 PM: KC -9.5 / 46.5
- CaesarsFri 9:18 AM: KC -9.5 / 43.5 → Sun 6:30 PM: KC -10 / 46.5 → Sun 8:30 PM: KC -10 / 45.5 → Mon 5:00 AM: KC -10 / 46
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
KC29.0
29.0Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=29.0
NYJ18.7
18.7Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=18.7
Total47.7
47.7
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Kansas City Chiefsprojected 38.5 pass plays, 25.5 run plays
Updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | 33.0 | 33.0 |
| Pass yards | 230.6 | 230.6 |
| Receiving yards | 230.6 | 230.6 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.97 | 1.97 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.97 | 1.97 |
Environment
Venue
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Roof
open
Elevation
909 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
58F
Wind
8 mph W
Chance of precipitation
4%
Humidity
62%
Forecast
Sunny
Issued 127 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Kansas City city elevation (909 ft; stadium is in eastern KC near the Truman Sports Complex so actual elevation slightly lower).
Injury report
The week 9 report has not been filed yet. The statuses below are from the week 8 report; the league typically files Wednesday afternoon ET.
New York Jets9 listed
Braelon AllenRBAnkleFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Breece HallRBQuestionable (week 8 report)QuadricepLimited Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
David BaileyDEDoubtful (week 8 report)GroinDid Not Participate In Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Demario DavisLB
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.