Week 9
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET (Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NYG -3 | NYG -3 | Same |
| Total | 42.5 | 39.5 | 3 higher |
| Moneyline | NYG -143PHI +143 | NYG -178PHI +150 | |
| Win chance | PHI 41% | PHI 38% | PHI +3% |
| Market | NYG | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | NYG +3Best available line: FanDuel | PHI -3.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Total | Over 39.5Best available line: FanDuel | Under 39.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Moneyline | NYG -170Best available line: DraftKings | PHI +150Best available line: FanDuel |
Odds updated 9 min ago.
Updating
Line movement
- FanDuelFri 9:18 AM: NYG -1.5 / 39.5 → Sun 6:30 PM: NYG -2.5 / 39.5 → Mon 5:00 AM: NYG -3 / 39.5 → Tue 5:00 AM: NYG -3.5 / 39.5 → Tue 9:00 AM: NYG -3 / 40.5 → Tue 11:00 AM: NYG -3 / 39.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
PHI19.8
19.8Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=19.8
NYG22.6
22.6Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=22.6
Total42.4
42.4
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Philadelphia Eaglesprojected 35.8 pass plays, 25.0 run plays
Updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Pass yards | 174.3 | 174.3 |
| Receiving yards | 174.3 | 174.3 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.52 | 1.52 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.52 |
Environment
Venue
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Roof
open
Elevation
39 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
60F
Wind
5 mph NW
Chance of precipitation
9%
Humidity
62%
Forecast
Mostly Sunny
Issued 129 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Capacity 67594 (per WP). Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Philadelphia city elevation (39 ft).
Injury report
The week 9 report has not been filed yet. The statuses below are from the week 8 report; the league typically files Wednesday afternoon ET.
Philadelphia Eagles20 listed
Arnold EbiketieLBShoulderFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Britain CoveyWROut (week 8 report)KneeDid Not Participate In Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Dallas GoedertTEKneeFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
DeVonta SmithWROut (week 8 report)
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