Week 9
Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers
Sun Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET (Sun Nov 8, 1:05 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SF -9 | SF -10 | 1 toward LV |
| Total | 47.5 | 52.5 | 5 lower |
| Moneyline | LV +273SF -273 | LV +370SF -485 | |
| Win chance | SF 73% | SF 80% | SF -7% |
| Market | LV | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | LV -10Best available line: DraftKings | SF +9.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Total | Over 52.5Best available line: DraftKings | Under 52.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Moneyline | LV +410Best available line: FanDuel | SF -485Best available line: DraftKings |
Odds updated 7 min ago.
Updating
Line movement
- DraftKingsFri 9:18 AM: SF -9.5 / 48.5 → Fri 2:30 PM: SF -10 / 48.5 → Sun 6:00 PM: SF -8.5 / 50.5 → Sun 8:30 PM: SF -9.5 / 51.5 → Mon 5:30 PM: SF -10 / 51.5 → Tue 5:00 PM: SF -10 / 52.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
SF28.2
28.2Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=28.2
LV19.2
19.2Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=19.2
Total47.5
47.5
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
San Francisco 49ersprojected 37.6 pass plays, 26.1 run plays
Updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | 33.8 | 33.8 |
| Pass yards | 264.6 | 264.6 |
| Receiving yards | 264.6 | 264.6 |
| Pass touchdowns | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 2.40 | 2.40 |
Environment
Venue
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Roof
open
Elevation
72 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
72F
Wind
3 mph NW
Chance of precipitation
0%
Humidity
53%
Forecast
Sunny
Issued 132 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Santa Clara city elevation (72 ft).
Injury report
The week 9 report has not been filed yet. The statuses below are from the week 8 report; the league typically files Wednesday afternoon ET.
Las Vegas Raiders11 listed
Brock BowersTECalfFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Carter RunyonTEOut (week 8 report)FootFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
DJ GlazeTAnkleFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Eric StokesCBIllnessLimited Participation in Practice
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