Week 9
Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins
Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET (Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DET -4 | DET -7 | 3 toward MIA |
| Total | 49.5 | 50.5 | 1 lower |
| Moneyline | DET -172MIA +172 | DET -375MIA +295 | |
| Win chance | MIA 37% | MIA 24% | MIA +13% |
| Market | DET | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | DET +7Best available line: FanDuel | MIA -7Best available line: DraftKings |
| Total | Over 50.5Best available line: FanDuel | Under 50.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Moneyline | DET -350Best available line: FanDuel | MIA +295Best available line: DraftKings |
Odds updated 1 hr ago.
Updating
Line movement
- DraftKingsFri 9:18 AM: DET -7 / 48.5 → Sun 6:00 PM: DET -7 / 49.5 → Sun 8:30 PM: DET -7 / 48.5 → Mon 5:00 AM: DET -7 / 49.5 → Mon 1:30 PM: DET -7 / 50.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
MIA22.6
22.6Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=22.6
DET26.9
26.9Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=26.9
Total49.5
49.5
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Miami Dolphinsprojected 36.6 pass plays, 24.0 run plays
Updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | 32.9 | 32.9 |
| Pass yards | 208.5 | 208.5 |
| Receiving yards | 208.5 | 208.5 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.58 | 1.58 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.58 | 1.58 |
Environment
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Roof
open
Elevation
10 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
82F
Wind
6 mph SE
Chance of precipitation
15%
Humidity
69%
Forecast
Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Issued 127 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Capacity 64767 (reduced from 75000 per WP). Open-air canopy (2016) covers seating but leaves field exposed. Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Miami Gardens city elevation (10 ft).
Injury report
The week 9 report has not been filed yet. The statuses below are from the week 8 report; the league typically files Wednesday afternoon ET.
Detroit Lions11 listed
Aidan HutchinsonDENot injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Alim McNeillDTNot injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRAnkleFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
DJ WonnumDENot injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice
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