Week 9
Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers
Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET (Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DEN -2 | — | |
| Total | 44 | — | |
| Moneyline | DEN -127CAR +127 | — | |
| Win chance | CAR 44% | — |
| Market | DEN | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | DEN +2.5Best available line: DraftKings | CAR -3Best available line: FanDuel |
| Total | Over 43.5Best available line: DraftKings | Under 43.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Moneyline | DEN -142Best available line: DraftKings | CAR +124Best available line: FanDuel |
Updating
Line movement
- CaesarsFri 6:00 PM: DEN -2.5 / 44.5 → Sun 9:30 PM: DEN -3 / 44 → Mon 5:00 AM: DEN -3 / 43.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
CAR21.1
21.1Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=21.1
DEN23.0
23.0Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=23.0
Total44.1
44.1
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Carolina Panthersprojected 37.7 pass plays, 23.4 run plays
Updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| Pass yards | 187.2 | 187.2 |
| Receiving yards | 187.2 | 187.2 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.07 | 1.07 |
Environment
Venue
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Roof
open
Elevation
673 ft
Surface
grass
Temperature
67F
Wind
5 mph W
Chance of precipitation
6%
Humidity
56%
Forecast
Mostly Sunny
Issued 127 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Capacity 75037 (2025 per WP). Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Charlotte city elevation (673 ft).
Injury report
The week 9 report has not been filed yet. The statuses below are from the week 8 report; the league typically files Wednesday afternoon ET.
Denver Broncos10 listed
Brandon JonesSQuestionable (week 8 report)HamstringLimited Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Garett BollesTQuestionable (week 8 report)HipLimited Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Jaylen WaddleWRQuestionable (week 8 report)ChestLimited Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Karene Reid
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.