Week 9
Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons
Sun Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
The projection
Sun Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ATL -2 | — | |
| Total | 45.5 | — | |
| Moneyline | CIN +131ATL -131 | — | |
| Win chance | ATL 57% | — |
| Market | CIN | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN +3Best available line: FanDuel | ATL -3Best available line: DraftKings |
| Total | Over 52.5Best available line: DraftKings | Under 52.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Moneyline | CIN -162Best available line: DraftKings | ATL +138Best available line: FanDuel |
Updating
Line movement
- CaesarsFri 9:18 AM: CIN -3 / 49.5 → Sun 6:30 PM: CIN -3.5 / 49.5 → Sun 8:00 PM: CIN -3.5 / 51.5 → Mon 12:00 PM: CIN -3 / 51.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
ATL23.8
23.8Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=23.8
CIN21.7
21.7Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=21.7
Total45.5
45.5
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Atlanta Falconsprojected 36.2 pass plays, 26.2 run plays
Updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | 33.2 | 33.2 |
| Pass yards | 233.3 | 233.3 |
| Receiving yards | 233.3 | 233.3 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.29 | 1.29 |
Environment
Surface
fieldturf
No forecast has been recorded for this game.
Injury report
The week 9 report has not been filed yet. The statuses below are from the week 8 report; the league typically files Wednesday afternoon ET.
Cincinnati Bengals7 listed
B.J. HillDTNot injury related - resting playerDid Not Participate In Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Dexter LawrenceDTNot injury related - resting playerDid Not Participate In Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Ja'Marr ChaseWRNot injury related - resting player, AnkleFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Joe Giles-HarrisLBQuestionable (week 8 report)Calf
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