Week 9
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
Sun Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET (Sun Nov 8, 1:25 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SEA -10.5 | SEA -12.5 | 2 toward ARI |
| Total | 43.5 | 41.5 | 2 higher |
| Moneyline | ARI +318SEA -318 | ARI +500SEA -700 | |
| Win chance | SEA 76% | SEA 84% | SEA -8% |
| Market | ARI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARI -12.5Best available line: DraftKings | SEA +11.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Total | Over 41.5Best available line: DraftKings | Under 42.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Moneyline | ARI +500Best available line: DraftKings | SEA -670Best available line: FanDuel |
Odds updated 1 hr ago.
Updating
Line movement
- DraftKingsFri 9:18 AM: SEA -10.5 / 44.5 → Sun 6:00 PM: SEA -11.5 / 44.5 → Sun 8:30 PM: SEA -11.5 / 45.5 → Sun 9:30 PM: SEA -11.5 / 44.5 → Tue 11:00 AM: SEA -10.5 / 43.5 → Tue 1:00 PM: SEA -10.5 / 41.5 → Tue 7:00 PM: SEA -12.5 / 41.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
SEA26.9
26.9Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=26.9
ARI16.4
16.4Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=16.4
Total43.3
43.3
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Seattle Seahawksprojected 36.3 pass plays, 26.2 run plays
Updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Dropbacks | 33.7 | 33.7 |
| Pass yards | 268.3 | 268.3 |
| Receiving yards | 268.3 | 268.3 |
| Pass touchdowns | 2.30 | 2.30 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 2.30 | 2.30 |
Environment
Venue
Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Roof
open
Elevation
148 ft
Surface
fieldturf
Temperature
56F
Wind
9 mph SSW
Chance of precipitation
47%
Humidity
83%
Forecast
Chance Light Rain
Issued 132 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Partial canopy covers ~70% of seats; field exposed. Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Seattle city elevation (148 ft).
Injury report
The week 9 report has not been filed yet. The statuses below are from the week 8 report; the league typically files Wednesday afternoon ET.
Arizona Cardinals16 listed
Andrew WingardSQuestionable (week 8 report)KneeLimited Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Budda BakerSNot injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Carson BeckQBBackFull Participation in Practice
No row in week 9 report yet.
Elijah WilkinsonTKneeFull Participation in Practice
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