Week 8
Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET (Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -9.5 | CIN -12.5 | 3 toward TEN |
| Total | 46 | 46.5 | 0.5 lower |
| Moneyline | TEN +288CIN -288 | TEN +475CIN -675 | |
| Win chance | CIN 74% | CIN 83% | CIN -9% |
| Market | TEN | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | TEN -12.5Best available line: FanDuel | CIN +12.5Best available line: Caesars |
| Total | Over 46.5Best available line: DraftKings | Under 46.5Best available line: FanDuel |
| Moneyline | TEN +570Best available line: FanDuel | CIN -675Best available line: DraftKings |
Odds updated 22 min ago.
Line movement
- CaesarsTue 6:01 PM: CIN -10 / 45.5 → Wed 6:00 AM: CIN -10 / 46.5 → Thu 12:01 PM: CIN -10 / 46 → Fri 10:30 AM: CIN -12.5 / 46 → Fri 9:30 PM: CIN -12.5 / 46.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
CIN27.7
27.7Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=27.7
TEN18.2
18.2Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=18.2
Total46.0
46.0Before environment
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Cincinnati Bengalsprojected 38.8 pass plays, 24.2 run plays
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 36.2 | 36.2 |
| Pass yards | 269.9 | 269.9 |
| Receiving yards | 269.9 | 269.9 |
| Pass touchdowns | 2.02 | 2.02 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 2.02 | 2.02 |
| Carries |
Environment
Venue
Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Roof
open
Elevation
742 ft
Surface
fieldturf
Temperature
67F
Wind
3 mph SE
Chance of precipitation
41%
Humidity
58%
Forecast
Chance Light Rain
Issued 58 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Cincinnati city elevation (742 ft; stadium is along Ohio River so actual stadium elevation slightly lower).
Injury report
Tennessee Titans7 listed
Calvin RidleyWRHipLimited Participation in Practice
Carnell TateWRShoulderDid Not Participate In Practice
Dorian MausiLBFootFull Participation in Practice
John Franklin-MyersDEGroin, BackLimited Participation in Practice
Tommy TownsendPKneeDid Not Participate In Practice
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