Week 8
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders
Sun Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET (Sun Nov 1, 8:20 PM local)
The projection
Sun Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WAS -5 | WAS -5.5 | 0.5 toward PHI |
| Total | 43 | 40.5 | 2.5 higher |
| Moneyline | PHI +182WAS -182 | PHI +210WAS -265 | |
| Win chance | WAS 65% | WAS 69% | WAS -4% |
| Market | PHI | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | PHI -5.5Best available line: FanDuel | WAS +5.5Best available line: Caesars |
| Total | Over 40.5Best available line: FanDuel | Under 40.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Moneyline | PHI +220Best available line: FanDuel | WAS -250Best available line: DraftKings |
Odds updated 19 min ago.
Line movement
- CaesarsTue 6:01 PM: WAS -3.5 / 41 → Wed 6:00 AM: WAS -3.5 / 41.5 → Wed 2:01 PM: WAS -3.5 / 40.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: WAS -6 / 40 → Fri 8:30 PM: WAS -5.5 / 40 → Fri 10:30 PM: WAS -5.5 / 40.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
WAS24.0
24.0Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=24.0
PHI18.9
18.9Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=18.9
Total42.9
42.9Before environment
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Washington Commandersprojected 36.7 pass plays, 25.2 run plays
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 30.2 | 30.2 |
| Pass yards | 185.0 | 185.0 |
| Receiving yards | 185.0 | 185.0 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Carries |
Environment
Venue
Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
Roof
open
Elevation
200 ft, recorded as low confidence
Surface
grass
Temperature
53F
Wind
2 mph SE
Chance of precipitation
0%
Humidity
77%
Forecast
Mostly Cloudy
Issued 58 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
current_name reflects most-recent name in our schedules data; real-world current name (per WP) is Northwest Stadium. Capacity 64000 (2025). Neither stadium WP nor Landover city WP nor Prince George's County WP listed specific elevation for this site. Used 200 ft as approximation for Landover (Prince George's County WP describes western parts as exceeding 300 ft; Landover is central and lower-elevation). LOW CONFIDENCE elevation value.
Injury report
Philadelphia Eagles20 listed
Arnold EbiketieLBShoulderFull Participation in Practice
Britain CoveyWRKneeDid Not Participate In Practice
Dallas GoedertTEKneeFull Participation in Practice
DeVonta SmithWRHamstringDid Not Participate In Practice
Dontayvion WicksWRAnkleDid Not Participate In Practice
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