Week 8

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

Book

The projection

Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

	Touchdown Theory	Market	Difference
Spread	DET -2	DET -3.5	1.5 toward MIN
Total	44.5	46.5	2 lower
Moneyline	MIN +126DET -126	MIN +146DET -174
Win chance	DET 56%	DET 61%	DET -5%

Market	MIN	DET
Spread	MIN -3.5Best available line: Caesars	DET +3Best available line: DraftKings
Total	Over 45.5Best available line: Caesars	Under 46.5Best available line: DraftKings
Moneyline	MIN +151Best available line: Caesars	DET -170Best available line: DraftKings

Odds updated 21 min ago.

Line movement

FanDuelTue 4:02 PM: DET -3 / 48.5 → Thu 1:31 PM: DET -3 / 47.5 → Mon 5:28 PM: DET -3 / 46.5 → Fri 9:18 AM: DET -3.5 / 46.5

Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.

How the number is built

Not published yet. When a projection exists for this game, this section shows the score before environment, the adjustment applied to it, and the result, adding up in front of you.

Where the player numbers come from

The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.

Detroit Lionsprojected 36.7 pass plays, 25.5 run plays

Team line	Projected	Sum of players
Pass attempts	34.9	34.9
Pass yards	233.9	233.9
Receiving yards	233.9	233.9
Pass touchdowns	1.35	1.35
Receiving touchdowns	1.35	1.35
Carries

Environment

Venue

Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Roof

fixed roof

Elevation

597 ft

Surface

fieldturf

No forecast has been recorded for this game.

Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Detroit city elevation (597 ft).

Injury report

Minnesota Vikings4 listed

Aaron JonesRBKneeLimited Participation in Practice

Brian O'NeillTKneeFull Participation in Practice

Gavin BartholomewTEAnkleDid Not Participate In Practice

Joe HuberGKneeFull Participation in Practice

Detroit Lions10 listed

Aidan Hutchinson

This week's slate Ford Field Methodology

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Player	Pos	Pass	Rush	Rec	Tgt	Snap %
Jared Goff	QB	233.9	2.9			97%
Jahmyr Gibbs	RB		91.1	31.0	5.3	80%
Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR		1.3	65.5	9.1	96%
Sam LaPorta	TE		0.0	50.1	5.6	100%
Jameson Williams	WR		0.4	47.9	5.0	94%
Isaac TeSlaa	WR			18.0	2.4	61%
Sione Vaki	RB		9.6	4.2	0.7	25%
DeAndre Carter	WR		2.0	8.1	1.2	22%
Brock Wright	TE		0.0	4.9	1.0	95%
Jacob Saylors	RB		3.7	0.6	0.1	7%
Tyler Conklin	TE		0.0	2.6	0.3	25%
Tay Martin	WR			1.0	0.1	6%
Joshua Dobbs	QB					8%

Minnesota Vikingsprojected 37.1 pass plays, 23.3 run plays

Team line	Projected	Sum of players
Pass attempts	32.7	32.7
Pass yards	195.0	195.0
Receiving yards	195.0	195.0
Pass touchdowns	1.42	1.42
Receiving touchdowns	1.42	1.42
Carries	25.5	25.5
Rush yards	118.5	118.5
Rush touchdowns	0.83	0.83

Player	Pos	Pass	Rush	Rec	Tgt	Snap %
Kyler Murray	QB	195.0	15.0			84%
Justin Jefferson	WR			62.0	7.3	86%
Aaron Jones Sr.	RB		44.1	13.7	3.2	77%
Jordan Mason	RB		43.2

Snap % is the share of the team's offensive snaps the player is projected to be on the field for; it reads straight from the projection row (proj_snap_share). Targets are shown but not totalled: a throwaway, a batted ball or a sack is a pass attempt with no target, which is about four a game per team, so targets legitimately do not sum to attempts.

live-20261030T161828Z

Not injury related - resting player

Full Participation in Practice

Alim McNeillDTNot injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice

Amon-Ra St. BrownWRAnkleFull Participation in Practice

DJ WonnumDENot injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice

Ennis Rakestraw Jr.CBAnkleLimited Participation in Practice

Jacob SaylorsRBNeckFull Participation in Practice

Jahmyr GibbsRBShoulderFull Participation in Practice

Kerby JosephSKneeLimited Participation in Practice

Penei SewellTNot injury related - resting playerFull Participation in Practice

Tyleik WilliamsDTIllnessFull Participation in Practice