Week 8
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Mon Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET (Mon Nov 2, 5:15 PM local)
The projection
Mon Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET
 Touchdown Theory | Market | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SEA -6 | SEA -3 | 3 toward SEA |
| Total | 44 | 46.5 | 2.5 lower |
| Moneyline | CHI +204SEA -204 | CHI +144SEA -170 | |
| Win chance | SEA 67% | SEA 61% | SEA +6% |
| Market | CHI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -3Best available line: Caesars | SEA +3Best available line: DraftKings |
| Total | Over 46.5Best available line: DraftKings | Under 46.5Best available line: DraftKings |
| Moneyline | CHI +144Best available line: Caesars | SEA -168Best available line: FanDuel |
Odds updated 20 min ago.
Updating
Line movement
- CaesarsTue 6:01 PM: SEA -3 / 46.5
Market numbers are recorded as the feed saw them, shown for comparison, not as a recommendation.
How the number is built
Updating
The model projects each side, then adjusts for the conditions the game is played in. Both steps are shown so the adjustment can be seen rather than taken on trust. These add up exactly as printed; if they ever did not, this section would not appear.
SEA25.0
25.0Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=25.0
CHI18.9
18.9Before environment+(+0.0)Environment=18.9
Total43.9
43.9
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
Seattle Seahawksprojected 35.9 pass plays, 25.6 run plays
Updating
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 34.1 | 34.1 |
| Pass yards | 282.2 | 282.2 |
| Receiving yards | 282.2 | 282.2 |
| Pass touchdowns | 2.02 | 2.02 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 2.02 |
Environment
Venue
Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Roof
open
Elevation
148 ft
Surface
fieldturf
Temperature
52F
Wind
2 mph N
Chance of precipitation
4%
Humidity
75%
Forecast
Mostly Cloudy
Issued 91 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Partial canopy covers ~70% of seats; field exposed. Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Seattle city elevation (148 ft).
Injury report
Chicago Bears5 listed
D'Marco JacksonLBAnkleLimited Participation in Practice
Jack SanbornLBConcussionFull Participation in Practice
Kyle MonangaiRBThumb, ToeDid Not Participate In Practice
Malik MuhammadCBToeLimited Participation in Practice
T.J. EdwardsLBHamstringFull Participation in Practice
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