Week 5
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
Sun Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET (Sun Oct 11, 1:25 PM local)
The market
These are the market's numbers, recorded as the feed saw them. They are shown so the model can be compared against something, not as a recommendation.
Line movement
Spread
Total
History begins Mon 12:05 PM ET. Books are ordered DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics; a new book joins automatically when one appears in the feed.
Environment
Issued 122 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
Elevation 1060 ft from stadium WP infobox. Retractable field (slides out for sunlight). Capacity 63400 expandable to 72200.
The projection
 Touchdown Theory | Difference | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DET -1.5 | DET -4.5 | 3 toward ARI |
| Total | 51 | 53.5 | 2.5 lower |
| Moneyline | DET -118ARI +118 | DET -240ARI +198 | |
| Win chance | ARI 46% | ARI 32% | ARI +14% |
DraftKings DET -4.5, O/U 54.5 · FanDuel DET -4.5, O/U 53.5
Odds updated 1 hr ago.
- DraftKings · first recorded Oct 5: DET -4.5, 53.5 → DET -4.5, 54.5 (updated 1 hr ago)
- FanDuel · first recorded Oct 5: DET -4.5, 53.5 (held, updated 1 hr ago)
- BetMGM · first recorded Oct 5: DET -4, 54 → DET -4.5, 54.5 (updated 1 hr ago)
- Caesars · first recorded Oct 5: DET -4, 54 → DET -5, 54.5 (updated 1 hr ago)
- Fanatics · first recorded Oct 5: DET -4, 54 → DET -5, 54.5 (updated 1 hr ago)
How the number is built
Not published yet. When a projection exists for this game, this section shows the score before environment, the adjustment applied to it, and the result, adding up in front of you.
Where the player numbers come from
The model projects each team's line first, then divides it among players. Both are shown, with the team figure beside the sum of its parts, so the division can be checked rather than trusted. A row appears only when the parts add up to the whole.
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 35.9 | 35.9 |
| Pass yards | 213.4 | 213.4 |
| Receiving yards | 213.4 | 213.4 |
| Pass touchdowns | 1.77 | 1.77 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 1.77 | 1.77 |
| Carries | 23.9 | 23.9 |
| Rush yards | 107.2 | 107.2 |
| Rush touchdowns | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Player | Pos | Pass | Rush | Rec | Tgt | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 213.4 | 5.9 | 100% | ||
| Jeremiyah Love | RB | 58.7 | 19.6 | 4.2 | 9% | |
| Trey McBride | TE | 0.0 | 61.1 | 8.9 | 29% | |
| Michael Wilson | WR | 1.1 | 53.6 | 7.8 | 25% | |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | 21.4 | 14.5 | 2.7 | 7% | |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR | 30.9 | 3.4 | 14% | ||
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | 0.8 | 20.9 | 2.5 | 10% | |
| Bam Knight | RB | 18.2 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 1% | |
| Elijah Higgins | TE | 0.0 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 3% | |
| Hunter Long | TE | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1% | ||
| Jalen Brooks | WR | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1% | ||
| Carson Beck | QB | 1.1 | ||||
| Simi Fehoko | WR | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0% | ||
| Gardner Minshew II | QB | 0.1 |
| Team line | Projected | Sum of players |
|---|---|---|
| Pass attempts | 36.2 | 36.2 |
| Pass yards | 290.0 | 290.0 |
| Receiving yards | 290.0 | 290.0 |
| Pass touchdowns | 2.76 | 2.76 |
| Receiving touchdowns | 2.76 | 2.76 |
| Carries | 24.2 | 24.2 |
| Rush yards | 113.5 | 113.5 |
| Rush touchdowns | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Player | Pos | Pass | Rush | Rec | Tgt | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | QB | 290.0 | 3.6 | 100% | ||
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 87.9 | 42.6 | 5.6 | 15% | |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 1.8 | 82.1 | 9.9 | 28% | |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 0.0 | 63.6 | 6.0 | 22% | |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 1.9 | 54.0 | 4.7 | 19% | |
| Isaac TeSlaa | WR | 21.9 | 2.2 | 8% | ||
| Sione Vaki | RB | 13.2 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 2% | |
| Brock Wright | TE | 0.0 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 2% | |
| Jacob Saylors | RB | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0% | |
| Jackson Meeks | TE | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1% | ||
| Tay Martin | WR | 3.6 | 0.3 | 1% | ||
| Tom Kennedy | WR | 3.5 | 0.3 | 1% | ||
| Joshua Dobbs | QB |
Share is a player's portion of the team's projected passing yards, counting a quarterback by what he throws and everyone else by what he catches. Targets are shown but not totalled: a throwaway, a batted ball or a sack is a pass attempt with no target, which is about four a game per team, so targets legitimately do not sum to attempts.
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Injury report
The week 5 report has not been filed yet. The statuses below are from the week 4 report; the league typically files Wednesday afternoon ET.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
No row in week 5 report yet.
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