Week 4
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET (Thu Oct 1, 8:15 PM local)
The market
These are the market's numbers, recorded as the feed saw them. They are shown so the model can be compared against something, not as a recommendation.
How the line moved
| Recorded | Line | Total | PIT | CLE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Aug 31, 4:46 PM ET | PIT -2.5 | 40.5 | -135 | +114 | |
| Sun Sep 13, 11:25 PM ET | not posted | ||||
| Wed Sep 23, 12:11 AM ET | PIT -3 | 38.5 | -148 | +124 | |
| Thu Sep 24, 7:00 AM ET | PIT -3 | 38.5 | -155 | +130 | |
| Fri Sep 25, 7:00 AM ET | PIT -3 | 38.5 | -148 | +124 | |
| Tue Sep 29, 10:00 AM ET | PIT -2.5 | 38.5 | -148 | +124 | current |
Each row is a snapshot the feed recorded, oldest first. Superseded rows are kept, because a line that moves and moves back is only visible if both are shown.
Environment
Issued 16 hours before kickoff. A forecast issued further out has had less time to settle.
current_name reflects most-recent name in our schedules data; real-world current name is Huntington Bank Field (per WP). Stadium WP did not list elevation; using Cleveland city elevation (653 ft; stadium is on Lake Erie shoreline so actual elevation closer to ~570 ft).
The projection
Not published yet. When it is, this section carries the projected score, spread, total and win probability for this game, the fair odds the probability translates to, and the projected play counts and per-team box lines behind them.
How the number is built
Not published yet. When a projection exists for this game, this section shows the score before environment, the adjustment applied to it, and the result, adding up in front of you.